Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
75¢
24h volume
$977.71
Source path
@realDonaldTrump
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 4, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.