Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Trump say "Mount Rushmore" this week?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
91¢
24h volume
$70.58
Source path
polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 5, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.