Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?

Resolves in 34h.

Probability

27¢

24h volume

$676.55

Source path

x.com

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 14, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket