Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Trump say "World" during UFC 250?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

68¢

24h volume

$11.30

Source path

the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pr

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 15, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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