Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.
Probability
100¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in Texas for the 2024 U
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Nov 5, 2024
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.