Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on February 14?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Feb 14, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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