Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on August 21, 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
11¢
24h volume
$80.00
Source path
to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 21, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.