Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on July 31, 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
11¢
24h volume
$30.00
Source path
to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.