Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 19, 2026?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

28¢

24h volume

$110.70

Source path

to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 19, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.