Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 26, 2026?

Resolves in 42h.

Probability

13¢

24h volume

$270.19

Source path

to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 26, 2026

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 26, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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