Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 17, 2026?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$24.02
Source path
to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 17, 2026
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 17, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.