Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2025?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 14 and December 31 2025

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.