Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$465 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 2, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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