Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in July?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
31¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.