Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Feb 28, 2027
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket