Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
18¢
24h volume
$804.38
Source path
polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 28, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.