Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the AI model listed below that shows the highest account value on the NOF1

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: not stated
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket