Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

38¢

24h volume

$7.63

Source path

to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Ann Arbor, Michigan Mayoral election

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 4, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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