Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury
Resolves in 9h.
Probability
60¢
24h volume
$38.1K
Source path
wnba.com
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 2, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.