Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

World Cup: Tuesday - Argentina vs. Croatia

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the winner of the game, which includes regular time, extra time, and penalties

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 13, 2022
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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