New-Sponge-Fog
0x470c5d058bc80bcbb5ec04496ed70deaa1a5ca16
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$87.90
Total PnL
$-2.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
60 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$59.37
$0.09
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$22.60
$-2.20
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.10
$0.30
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.48
$-0.02
- AJLA TOMLJANOVIC
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$24.80May 24, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$59.28May 23, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$10.00May 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.80May 23, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$24.63May 22, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$23.13May 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$22.11May 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$15.18May 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$25.00May 21, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$24.48May 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$24.50May 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$7.09May 19, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$7.42May 19, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$9.75May 19, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$38.96May 19, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.00May 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 16, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$42.00May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$9.84May 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$38.92May 13, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $20.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 04:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".