Quarterly-Survivor-Muffin
0x9a56f2e0c5f21a08f324be60dcbf3ac0c595563c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$89.28
Total PnL
$-516.53
Realised
$1.03
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- NO
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by June 30?
50 shares @ 82.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$34.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.75
$-11.75
- YES
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$18.25
$-9.75
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.24
$-14.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
107 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.06May 24, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.01May 24, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.18May 24, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.03May 24, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$2.42May 24, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$2.03May 24, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.07May 24, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.06May 24, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$4.58May 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.84May 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.05May 24, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$2.11May 24, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$2.06May 24, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.19May 24, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.04May 24, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.95May 24, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.03May 24, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2.66May 24, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.02May 24, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.02May 24, 03:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".