Awesome-Molecule
0xc8849a93e05a2ae1b49bb07787a9e0059bb4e17e
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$343.1K
Total PnL
$-21.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
106642 shares @ 95.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.3K
$1.3K
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100000 shares @ 90.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.7K
$4.6K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
64967 shares @ 84.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.2K
$295.21
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
31575 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.5K
$1.2K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
104349 shares @ 41.2¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.5K
$-18.5K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
16801 shares @ 53.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.5K
$-444.93
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
15744 shares @ 39.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.9K
$-332.73
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
10161 shares @ 50.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$-68.40
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
12541 shares @ 40.6¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.3K
$-769.23
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
34925 shares @ 17.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.3K
$-2.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$614.98May 24, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.1KMay 24, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.4KMay 24, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.3KMay 24, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$6.2KMay 24, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.07May 24, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$211.61May 24, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2.2KMay 24, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.5KMay 24, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.8KMay 24, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$3.2KMay 24, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.9KMay 24, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.4KMay 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.8KMay 24, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.55May 24, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$454.90May 24, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.02May 24, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.9KMay 24, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$504.91May 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$249.60May 24, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".