Real-Surgeon
0xcc23520245c0be05c509dfe971604f5022f49567
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$47.80
Total PnL
$-2.27
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.96
$-0.03
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.89
$-0.04
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.69
$-0.05
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 77.8¢·now 74.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.37
$-0.22
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.13
$0.04
- CRYSTAL PALACE FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.94
$-0.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.42
$-0.84
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
9 shares @ 39.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.73
$-0.88
- PABLO LLAMAS RUIZ
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.58
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)$1.20May 24, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$4.00May 24, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.89May 24, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.27May 24, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5$5.27May 24, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik$1.96May 24, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs$1.35May 24, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)$0.71May 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)$1.72May 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$1.29May 24, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$2.70May 24, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$3.23May 24, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$1.46May 24, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5$4.87May 24, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Athletics (-1.5)$5.79May 24, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$2.70May 24, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAthletics vs. San Diego Padres$2.80May 24, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$0.00May 24, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?$2.46May 24, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5$1.97May 24, 02:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".