100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc case counter by march 31, 2025, 11:59 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC case counter by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET — https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/situation-summary/index.html).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.