The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
Other · resolves Aug 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 100¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc case counter by august 31, 2025, 11:59 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC case counter by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET — https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.