2024 October hottest on record?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible sources — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible sources — https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.