Will Jake Knapp lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship following the first round?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the player that finishes round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 fedex st — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 42.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.