The market moved

+18.5ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?

Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $485.95

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 18.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pgatour.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: pgatour.com — https://www.pgatour.com/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 24.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.