Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on pgatour.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: pgatour.com — https://www.pgatour.com/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 27.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.