The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?
Sports · resolves Jun 21 · vol $13.33
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 14¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pgatour.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: pgatour.com — https://www.pgatour.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.