The market moved

+13.5ppin 24h · now 50¢

Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Sports · resolves Jun 21 · vol $7.59

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 13.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pgatour.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: pgatour.com — https://www.pgatour.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.