The market moved

-3.4ppin 24h · now

240+ MPs vote to impeach Yoon?

Geopolitics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.