The market moved
+3.7ppin 24h · now 100¢
25% steel tariff in effect before May?
Other · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.7pp shift. Resolution depends on nytimes.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nytimes.com — https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/09/business/economy/trump-steel-aluminum-tariffs.html).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.