The market moved
+49.3ppin 24h · now 100¢
35% Canada tariff in effect by August 1?
Other · resolves Aug 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 49.3pp shift. Resolution depends on nbcnews.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nbcnews.com — https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/trump-us-canada-imports-35-tariff-trade-war-mark-carney-rcna218182).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.