The market moved
+23.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?
Other · resolves Aug 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 23.0pp shift. Resolution depends on bloomberg — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: bloomberg — https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-10/trump-says-50-tariff-on-copper-imports-to-take-effect-august-1).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.