Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 86¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the non-gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 2.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.