A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on the first judgement rendered in this case, regardless of later appeals, etc — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the first judgement rendered in this case, regardless of later appeals, etc — https://www.usatoday.com/story/entertainment/celebrities/2025/01/19/asap-rocky-trial-felony-assault-what-to-know/77805179007/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.