The market moved
+1.5ppin 24h · now 98¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on August 18?
Business · resolves Aug 18 · vol $17.03
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 98¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 1.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.