The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 55¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on July 13?
Business · resolves Jul 13 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 55¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 21.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.