The market moved
-5.1ppin 24h · now 27¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $325 on July 14?
Business · resolves Jul 14 · vol $16.65
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 27¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.1pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 5.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.