The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 57¢
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $60.08
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 57¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on imo-grand-challenge.github.io — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: imo-grand-challenge.github.io — https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.