Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 90%-92%?

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official comp — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official comp.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.