The market moved
-6.0ppin 24h · now 60¢
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?
Business · resolves Apr 30 · vol $6.94
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 60¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.0pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Annual Report.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.