The market moved
-2.1ppin 24h · now 90¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $180 end of July?
Business · resolves Jul 31 · vol $7.86
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 90¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.