The market moved
-5.5ppin 24h · now 63¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on June 15?
Business · resolves Jun 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 63¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 31.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.