The market moved
+40.4ppin 24h · now 90¢
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 15?
Business · resolves Jul 15 · vol $3.7K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 90¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 40.4pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 0.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.