The market moved

-54.9ppin 24h · now

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?

Business · resolves May 14 · vol $4.3K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 54.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.