The market moved

-51.1ppin 24h · now

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 19?

Business · resolves May 19 · vol $3.9K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 51.1pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 3.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.