The market moved
+1.1ppin 24h · now 99¢
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by June 30?
Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $152.14
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.